UPDATED 9/24 in bold

After watching Bill Haas stun Hunter Mahan last year with his Jesus shot (see https://thepowerfade.com/2011/09/26/play-of-the-week-24/), it became apparent to me that the Tour Championship is every bit as important (maybe more) than most majors, if for no other reason than what it pays. So, without further ado, LG and I predict the future below:

JK:
Who wins the Tour Championship: Louis Oosthuizen T-23. Congrats Sneds
Who win the Fedex Cup: Louis Oosthuizen
Rory McIlroy (1) will: Finish 15th T-10, two shots from T-15
Tiger Woods (2) will: finish 2nd T-8, five shots from T-2
Nick Watney (3) will: finish <20th 28th
Phil Mickelson (4) will: T-2 with Tiger. T-15
Brandt Snedeker (5) will: finish where he started, 5. won it
Story of the tournament will be: Rory falling while Oosthuizen putts his way to victory. Sneds solid play on the back 9
Tiger Woods will be: upset he didn’t win because his putter let him down yah
Phil Mickelson will be: happy he just got a chance to play in it this year yah
Dustin Johnson will: double-hit a ball chipping out of the bermuda. finish <20 T-10, better than i thought
Will you watch? Maybe parts of it over the weekend and the end on Sunday. exactly
Who is most likely to Hunter Mahan it? Tiger. no one really did
Will the weather hold out? It will rain all weekend. it was awesome all weekend
Number of references to Bobby Jones during the telecast on Sunday? I’m putting the over/under at 5. no idea, due to the answer three question above

LG:
Who wins the Tour Championship: Dustin Johnson T-10
Who win the Fedex Cup: Dustin Johnson
Rory McIlroy (1) will: Make Cut there is no cut. LG FAIL
Tiger Woods (2) will: Top 10 T-8, so yes
Nick Watney (3) will: Make Cut
Phil Mickelson (4) will: Top 10 T-15, so no
Brandt Snedeker (5) will: Make Cut I’ll say
Story of the tournament will be: Phil giving it away…again.
Tiger Woods will be: contending Saturday, forgotten by Sunday. how did you know????
Phil Mickelson will be: 2 stroke lead going into Sunday, giving it away on the back. not even close
Dustin Johnson will: WIN
Will you watch? If I’m not at the office
Who is most likely to Hunter Mahan it? Phil.
Will the weather hold out? I’m not even sure what this question means.
Number of references to Bobby Jones during the telecast on Sunday?  25.

updated Monday, 8/13

Alright, JK.  It’s our last shot of the year to call ’em.  The course: The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island.

LG:

Winner: Dustin Johnson T-48, +5 – winner, Rory Mcilroy
Winning Score: +2 -13
Runner Up: Tiger Woods David Lynn (who?)
Low PGA Professional: Mitch Lowe No idea
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Branden Grace M/c – how about David Lynn?
Last Year’s Winner (Keegan Bradley) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut):  Top 10 Correct, T-3, -4
The Master’s Winner (Bubba) Will: MC T-11, -2
The US Open Winner (Webb) Will: MC correct
The Open Champion (Ernie Els) Will: MC T-48, +5
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 2 1, Keegan Bradley

1 Rory McIlroy -13 67 75 67 66 275 $1,445,000 600
2 David Lynn -5 73 74 68 68 283 $865,000 0
T3 Justin Rose -4 69 79 70 66 284 $384,500 147
T3 Keegan Bradley -4 68 77 71 68 284 $384,500 147
T3 Ian Poulter -4 70 71 74 69 284 $384,500 147
T3 Carl Pettersson -4 66 74 72 72 284 $384,500 147
T7 Blake Adams -3 71 72 75 67 285 $226,000 91
T7 Jamie Donaldson -3 69 73 73 70 285 $226,000 0
T7 Peter Hanson -3 69 75 70 71 285 $226,000 0
T7 Steve Stricker -3 74 73 67 71 285 $226,000 91
T11 Ben Curtis -2 69 77 73 67 286 $143,286 65
T11 Bubba Watson -2 73 75 70 68 286 $143,286 65
T11 Tim Clark -2 71 73 73 69 286 $143,286 65
T11 Geoff Ogilvy -2 68 78 70 70 286 $143,286 65
T11 Graeme McDowell -2 68 76 71 71 286 $143,286 65
T11 Tiger Woods -2 69 71 74 72 286 $143,286 65
T11 Adam Scott -2 68 75 70 73 286 $143,286 65

Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it? DJ Wins it.  No more bunker issues. Rory won it…period
What will be the biggest story of the tournament? John Daly making the cut. 8-shot win by Rory, although Daly was a nice story for a little while
Jason Dufner will: Top 10 T-27, +1
Tiger Woods will: Top 10 T-11, -2
Rory McIlroy will: Make cut HA!
Zach Johnson will: MC Solo 70th at +12
Steve Stricker will: Make cut T-7, -3
Dustin Johnson will: WIN!! T-48, +5
Who is most likely to “Jason Dufner” it on the 17th hole on Sunday? Jason Dufner. it didn’t matter
Adam Scott will: Go home early – MC. T-11, -2

JK
Winner: Matt Kuchar Cut with an 82 on Friday!
Winning Score: -7 -13
Runner Up: Zach Johnson took down solo 70th.
Low PGA Professional: Mitch Lowe again, no clue, but congrats to mitch for making the field
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Brenden de Jonge T-54, +6
Last Year’s Winner (Keegan Bradley) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): Make the Cut T-3, -4
The Master’s Winner (Bubba) Will: Make the Cut Correct, T-11, -2
The US Open Winner (Webb) Will: Make the Cut nope..MC
The Open Champion (Ernie Els) Will: MC T-48, +5
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 2 just keegan
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it? Kuchar putts his way to a championship Rory does everything on his way to the championship
What will be the biggest story of the tournament? Should we ban the arm-putter? record-breaking rory
Jason Dufner will: Top 10 T-27, +1
Tiger Woods will: Top 10 close, T-11, -2
Rory McIlroy will: MC lol
Zach Johnson will: Runner up lol
Steve Stricker will: Make the Cut T-7, -3. Good showing for Strick
Dustin Johnson will: Top 10 no
Who is most likely to “Jason Dufner” it on the 17th hole on Sunday? Jason Dufner who cares?
Adam Scott will: MC. And take the long putter home with him. fail

JK: 7/24/2012 at 10:37 AM EST

Alright LG, time to put it out there.

There’s a lot of discussion lately about belly putters. More appropriately, there’s a lot of discussion about what to do about them. After going decades without single mid-length putter or long-putter winnings on Tour, now the belly putter is taking the Tour by storm. Three out of four of the current major champions used belly putters to win (Keegan Bradley, 2011 PGA; Webb Simpson, 2012 US Open; Ernie Els, 2012 British Open). Bubba Watson (2012 Masters) is the only current major champion who did not use a belly putter to win.

So there are many questions to answer here, but to me, the main point boils down to: 1) is it an advantage? if so, 2) what should be done?

Some people are just antithetical to belly putters and long putters in general. While neither you nor I use them–and I personally find them to be a bit distasteful–I do see a need in golf for them. Many amateur-level players need a way to make the game fun. Poor putting can often thwart someone’s progress as a golfer, and a long or belly putter may give them the stability they need to get over the hump. For example, when my wife’s grandfather played, he wasn’t in good enough health to lean over a putt, so he got a long putter and stopped 3-putting EVERY green (he still did 3-5 times per round, but way less than previously).

I think the more important point, though, is that belly and long putters really don’t give a “better” player much of an advantage. No matter the golfer, the person must still read the putt, account for the speed, pick the line, and set up to it properly before any mechanics of the stroke happen. The ability to do this successfully comes after hours and hours of practice that a “good” player will put in regardless of the length of putter he/she uses. To put it another way, the belly putter didn’t read the 35-footer that Keegan Bradley hit on the 17th hole at Atlanta Athletic Club–the player did. The player read it, accounted for the speed, picked the line, and let the put go on that line.

Further, I don’t think a longer putter shaft REALLY makes it all that much more stable for the better golfer. Adam Scott bogeyed the final four holes at Royal Lytham & St. Annes largely because he picked poor targets and failed to execute the mental part of his putting routine, not because he was using a long putter instead of a belly putter.

Webb Simpson’s putter didn’t make Jim Furyk pull his fairway shot in the bunker on 18 at Olympic or make Greame McDowell miss his birdie attempt by a mile and a half. Am I missing something?

Opponents of longer-length putters say it helps stabilize the stroke. That may be true, but at the same point, it prevents someone from using his or her athleticism to correct in small variations, such as when precise speed is needed, or when the player plays from the edge of the green and needs to blade the putt a little bit. I’ve practiced with a belly putter before, and I do see some stability improvement. But the stability improvement is far outweighted by the inability to control the distance, for me at least.

In my view, there is little to no real advantage in belly putters. I see it more as a mental advantage that some people will find helps their own games. Maybe some people will play better with them, but I firmly believe that others (like me) won’t. Just like all of the other equipment tweaks one can make (shaft flex, various grips and sizes, cavities vs. blades, groove changes, ball changes, etc etc etc etc etc), I see the putter shaft length and stroke method as just another option that a player can choose to make his or her game better. That’s what it’s all about, right?

What say you LG?

LG: 7/25/2012

For two reasons, I don’t think long putters should be allowed.

First, we should look to the game itself.  For me, golf is about using using a club to move the ball closer to the hole.  While this might seem to leave some room for a belly putter or long putter, the image just seems to go against what golf is all about.  When I think “golf swing,” I can’t imagine an athletic motion taking place with an anchored club.  No other club is anchored to the body in “golf,” so it makes little sense to allow it for the putter, in my view.  For that reason, I don’t think it should be allowed in competition.

Second,I think there is advantage and long putters should probably not be allowed in competition.  Golf is a mental game.  Putting is the strongest mental test given that it requires the least athleticism.  It takes a lot of skill and nerve to make short putts that matter.  I am inclined to believe that long putters provide a mental crutch to players that use them on those kinds of putts because they have the knowledge that they will make a fluid stroke based upon their equipment, not their practiced routine.  In that way, they provide an advantage (whether real or not).  While you can pretty easily point to Adam Scott’s performance in the 2012 Open Championship to counter this, the point isn’t players with long putters can choke, but rather, he choked DESPITE having that mental advantage.  Read: double choke.  At the highest level in the game, the point is to test your mental fortitude, not your ability to make a 4 footer.  No one in the entire world would (or should) bet against Adam Scott on any given 4 foot putt, but that putt becomes harder when it means you win or lose the title of “Champion Golfer of the Year.”  For a player to have a mental advantage over another based upon the equipment they are playing rather than the time spent on the practice green is what bothers me about the long putter and why I think it should not be allowed in competition.

That being said, I think they can be great learning tools to learn a fluid putting stroke.  Often, players like Ernie will switch back and forth between a standard putter and a long putter to get a feel for a good putting stroke.  I’m all for using them in a practice round.  I’m all for using them on the putting green.  I think you and I agree on the fundamental point; Long putters just aren’t golf.

JK, 7/26:

I agree that long putters and belly putters “just aren’t golf,” but I’m less opposed than you. The entirety of golf is about selecting equipment that maximizes your game. We do it with drivers; we do it with golf balls; heck, we do it with shoes. Every little thing to get an advantage makes sense. Some people had this “ban it” mentality when metal woods came out or when cavity-back irons were developed. Slowly, those things have become part of the fabric of the game to where no one would think of using a non-metal driver and cavity-back irons are almost universal. Even the classic “PING Anser” putter was looked at with shame originally but now is the most ubiquitous design available. While I see your point, I think it’s just part of the natural progression of the game. If you’re wanting to ban something, ban the way Tommy “Two Gloves” Gainey swings a golf club. That’s way more offensive than a belly putter.


UPDATED 7/23/2012: Way to go Ernie!

I know they call it “The Open Championship,” but we’ve got one of those that’s pretty important too, so I’m going with what they used to call it. I looked back to last year’s predictions (here https://thepowerfade.com/2011/07/18/conversation-british-open-predictions/), and it’s a good thing LG and I have other careers to take besides predicting golf tournaments. Anyway, without further ado:

7/17/2012

JK:
Winner: Phil Mickelson m/c – Ernie Els
Winning Score: -3 -7
Runner Up: Lee Westwood T-45 at +6 – Adam Scott
Low Amateur: Are there really only two amateurs in the field? How about Alan Dunbar i think they both m/c
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Greg Chalmers T-45 – Nicholas Colsaerts was T-7, Alexander Noren was T-9, Thorbjorn Olessen was T-9. Other than that, actually a pretty strong Top 10:
1 Ernie Els -7
2 Adam Scott -6
T3 Tiger Woods -3
T3 Brandt Snedeker -3
T5 Luke Donald -2
T5 Graeme McDowell -2
T7 Thomas Aiken -1
T7 Nicolas Colsaerts -1
T9 Ian Poulter E
T9 Zach Johnson E
T9 Miguel Jimenez E
T9 Mark Calcavecchia E
T9 Matt Kuchar E
T9 Geoff Ogilvy E
T9 Vijay Singh E
T9 Dustin Johnson E
T9 Alexander Noren E
T9 Thorbjorn Olesen E

Last Year’s Winner (Darren Clarke) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): Drink a lot of beer on Saturday and Sunday. M/c yah
The Master’s Winner (Bubba) Will …: wear pink socks on the plane home. M/c was in it for awhile; T-23
The US Open Winner (Webb) Will …: Stay home with his wife and potential new baby. Congrats Webb
The current PGA Champion (Keegan Bradley) will …: miss the cut. still learning how to do this thing T-34
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 3 YES! Tiger Woods, Ernie Els, and Marc Calcavecchia
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it? Someone will win it. Sans Carnoustie, the British Open is usually won by the most composed player. Els won it, but Scott defintely lost it as well
What will be the biggest story of the tournament? Phil finally comes through at the British fail
Who is most likely to “Tom Watson At Turnberry” it? Tiger he kind of did, but it was clearly Adam Scott who choked it
Will you watch on Sunday? Probably about half of it yep
Jason Dufner will: Top 10 T-31
Tiger Woods will: Top 10 Correct, T-3
Rory McIlroy will: Make the cut Correct, T-60
Zach Johnson will: Make the cut (no hating, LG) Top 10, T-9
Steve Stricker will: miss the cut T-23. Stricker played pretty well considering
Dustin Johnson will: he’s actually playing? make the cut Top 10, T-9. Good job freak of nature

LG:
Winner: TW T-3
Winning Score: -3 -7
Runner Up: Justin Rose M/c
Low Amateur: Are there really only two amateurs in the field? The one JK didn’t pick. both m/c
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Does Kevin Na count?  If not, let’s go with Sam Walker. First, you know Kevin Na doesn’t count. Second, he shot 73-77 to m/c. Finally, Sam Walker shot 76-70 to m/c
Last Year’s Winner (Darren Clarke) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): MC sorry Clarkie
The Master’s Winner (Bubba) Will …: MC T-23
The US Open Winner (Webb) Will …: MC If by “MC” you mean “not show up because he was home with his wife waiting on their new baby to arrive,” you’d be correct, but I suspect that is not the case.
The current PGA Champion (Keegan Bradley) will …: Make the cut T-34
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 2 3
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it? Hard to say – depends on the weather.  Let’s go with Tiger wins it. Tiger won nothing
What will be the biggest story of the tournament? Tiger’s 15th. do you just copy/paste this from one prediction to another?
Who is most likely to “Tom Watson At Turnberry” it? Lee Westwood. Go read a book, guy. I wish it were Westwood.
Will you watch on Sunday? Yes.  Live? no. did you?
Jason Dufner will: Make Cut T-31
Tiger Woods will: Win T-3
Rory McIlroy will: Top 10. T-60
Zach Johnson will: MC Top 10, T-9
Steve Stricker will: MC (sorry, Steve) T-23 (sorry, LG
Dustin Johnson will: Top 5. Top 5 isn’t a choice. He was close though. T-9

Updated 6/20
Yikes. Once again, our prowess for picking tournaments is pretty poor. See correct answers below:

Overall:
Winner: Webb Simpson
Winning Score: +1.
Runner Up: GMac and Michael Thompson.
Low Amateur: Jordan Speith.
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Michael Thompson, John Peterson. THIS IS WHAT I MEAN BY “UKNOWN”–AS IN, NO ONE KNOWS WHO THE F THEY ARE!
Most difficult hole vs. par: 6, but I contend it would have been 16 if they hadn’t moved the tees up on Sunday.
Easiest hole vs. par: 17.
Last Year’s Winner (Rory) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): Missed the cut.
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 4 – Furyk, GMac, Els, Goosen
Will there be an ace?: Yes.
…(assume there is) Which hole: 13.
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it?: Furyk definitely lost it

First Round Three balls:
Tiger, Phil, or Bubba?: Tiger
Goosen, Vijay , or ZJ?: Goosen and Vijay shot 75; ZJ shot 77. no one won.
Rory, Luke, or Westwood?: Westwood
Furyk, Sergio, or GMAC?: 69 for GMac on day 1
Fowler, Ryo, or DJ?: Ryo shot 71 on day 1 (followed by 78 and MC on day 2)

Second Round Three balls:
Tiger, Phil, or Bubba?: Tiger shot 70. Phil and Bubba shot 71. Close.
Goosen, Vijay , or ZJ?: Goosen and ZJ shoot 70
Rory, Luke, or Westwood?: Westwood and Donald shoot 72; Rory shoots 73.
Furyk, Sergio, or GMAC?: Furyk with the 69
Fowler, Ryo, or DJ?: Johnson shoots 74 FTW. WTF?

Original 6/13:
Alright Ladies and Gents, this week marks the 112th playing of our National Championship.  The tournament will take place in LG’s backyard – the Lake Course at the Olympic Club.  Given LG’s inside knowledge of the course, clearly he should win (and already has because he has inside knowledge).

Without further distraction, our predictions:

LG:

Overall:
Winner: TW.
Winning Score: -3.
Runner Up: Sergio Garcia.
Low Amateur: Patrick Cantlay.
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Aaron Baddeley.
Most difficult hole vs. par: par-3 Third.
Easiest hole vs. par: Par-4 Seventh.
Last Year’s Winner (Rory) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): Make the Cut.
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 3.
Will there be an ace?: No.
…(assume there is) Which hole: 15.
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it?: TW will win it.

First Round Three balls:
Tiger, Phil, or Bubba?: TW gets off to a rocky start.  Bubba takes the win on day 1.
Goosen, Vijay , or ZJ?: Hate to say it, but probably ZJ.
Rory, Luke, or Westwood?: Luke shoots even for the win.
Furyk, Sergio, or GMAC?: Sergio.
Fowler, Ryo, or DJ?: Fowler with the win on day 1.

Second Round Three balls:
Tiger, Phil, or Bubba?: Tiger makes a charge.
Goosen, Vijay , or ZJ?: ZJ again, unfortunately.  probably with a +3
Rory, Luke, or Westwood?: Rory comes back to make the cut.
Furyk, Sergio, or GMAC?: Sergio gives a couple back.  Furyk pulls out the win.
Fowler, Ryo, or DJ?:  DJ.  Did you see him at the St. Jude?

JK:

Overall:
Winner: Dustin Johnson
Winning Score: Even
Runner Up: Rickie Fowler
Low Amateur: LG, when he finds out he has to work instead of watch the open. But seriously, Cantlay
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Rooting for Tim Weinhart, local pro from Atlanta who made the field through qualifying.
Most difficult hole vs. par: Any of them could be. There isn’t an easy hole on the course. Let’s go with 16.
Easiest hole vs. par: 18
Last Year’s Winner (Rory) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): make the cut. He’s not in good form after choking at the St. Jude
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 0
Will there be an ace?: no
…(assume there is) Which hole: I said NO!
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it?: No one wins the US Open.

First Round Three balls:
Tiger, Phil, or Bubba?: Bubba
Goosen, Vijay , or ZJ?: ZJ
Rory, Luke, or Westwood?: Rors
Furyk, Sergio, or GMAC?: Sergio
Fowler, Ryo, or DJ?: Fowler

Second Round Three balls:
Tiger, Phil, or Bubba?: Phil
Goosen, Vijay , or ZJ?: Vijay
Rory, Luke, or Westwood?: Rors
Furyk, Sergio, or GMAC?: Furyk
Fowler, Ryo, or DJ?: DJ

Predictions: Masters 2012

April 10, 2012

This being one of our favorite posts to go through each year, we had to come out of hibernation to get our Masters predictions on board. I’m excited that the year is starting over again. Tiger has already won once at a real PGA event, and the excitement is back in the game.

On the wake of a pretty poor showing last year (see https://thepowerfade.wordpress.com/2011/04/11/conversation-masters-predictions/), LG and I look to fall far short of our mark set last year.

So, without further ado, here’s our predictions:

original predictions posted 4/3. updated answers in bold posted 4/10.

JK:
Winner: Tiger Woods —-> uh. no. bubba
Winning Score: -10 —-> YES! I GOT ONE!
Runner Up: Phil Mickelson —-> oosthuizen in the playoff. Phil T-3, though. Not bad
Low Amateur: I wish I could say Randall Lewis, but it will probably be Patrick Cantlay —-> YES! I GOT ANOTHER! WOO HOO!
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Chez Reavie —-> m/c. The only real “unknown” in the top 10 was Peter Hansen
Most difficult hole vs. par: 11 —-> i think this was it, but can’t confirm
Easiest hole vs. par: 13 —-> same as above
Last Year’s Winner (Charl Schwartzel) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): make the cut, but be outside of the Top 10. —-> correct – T50
Sandy Lyle Will…(Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): miss the cut, yet again —-> CORRECT!
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 3 —-> just 1 – PHIL
How many times will Hank Haney’s book be referenced on Sunday? twice —-> 0. sad
When will Sergio Garcia implode? Front 9 on Sunday —-> shot 40 on the front 9 on saturday, but started out with a double and two bogeys on sunday. I’m going to say this is correct, even though he finished T12
Dustin Johnson will… hit some golf balls really, really far, but he can’t chip well enough to compete. I’ll put him in the Top 10 at best, more likely 15th or so. —->uhg.
US Open Champion (Rory McIlroy) will … play better than he did on the back 9 last year. Made cut but outside of top 10. —->T40 shooting 77-76 on the weekend. CORRECT!
British Open Champion (Darren Clarke) will … show up drunk. MC. —-> also CORRECT. lift your pint Darren
PGA Champion (Keegan Bradley) will … MC. Belly putters don’t work at Augusta. —-> nope – T27. not bad for keegan. of course, now his winning percentage has been cut in half for majors, but whatever.
World #1 (Luke Donald) will … Top 10. Still no major for the world #1. Sad. —-> T32. why are we talking about luke donald?
What will be the major storyline of the tournament? Tiger playing just like he did in 1997. —-> Oosthuizen’s double-eagle, bubba winning dramatically, a bunch of guys in contention…great tourney this year. can’t wait for ‘013.

LG:
Winner: TW! —-> wrong
Winning Score: -14 —-> wrong. see JK answer above for the CORRECT answer
Runner Up:  Rory —-> wrong.
Low Amateur: Screw it.  Lewis.  Too good a story not to pick him. —-> wish it was right, but it’s still WRONG. however, see JK answer above for the CORRECT answer
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Jason Dufner. (I’m going to call him an unknown b/c he has no wins). —-> WRONG. although dufner was in it, 75-75 wont get it done on the weekend.
Most difficult hole vs. par: 10 —-> can’t confirm, but i’m pretty sure you’re wrong, just by the answers above
Easiest hole vs. par: 13 —->when you copy JK, you get the right answer. Imagine that.
Last Year’s Winner (Charl Schwartzel) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut):  fizzle out.  Make the cut, but then shoot even for the weekend. —-> pretty much yah. lots of fizzle.
Sandy Lyle Will…(Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut):  Who?  MC. —-> wrong. the correct answer was “solo last place.” nice try though.
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 4 —-> just one. phil the thrill.
How many times will Hank Haney’s book be referenced on Sunday? 0.  Tiger’s “Thanksgiving Fiasco,” on the other hand…. 18. —-> thank god, no.
When will Sergio Garcia implode? Saturday.  on 12. —-> he birdied 12 on saturday, so you’re completely WRONG
Dustin Johnson will… be eating ice cream on the couch.  Keep up with the news, JK. http://espn.go.com/golf/masters12/story/_/id/7770093/2012-masters-dustin-johnson-withdraws-unspecified-injury —->ice cream? didn’t you mean coke?
US Open Champion (Rory McIlroy) will … Lead the charge into the weekend and then watch Tiger walk right by him on the back 9. —-> uhh…i’m pretty sure he bested Tiger here. WRONG
British Open Champion (Darren Clarke) will … enjoy the first two days in the ropes and the last two outside the ropes.  MC. —-> yah. we all saw this coming. at least he enjoyed the beer.
PGA Champion (Keegan Bradley) will … Top 10. —->wrong again
World #1 (Luke Donald) will … not hit the ball far enough to matter – make the cut. —-> well…yah. pretty much
What will be the major storyline of the tournament?  Phil Michelson chokes on pimento and cheese sandwich…Or Tiger wins 5th green jacket.  Yeah.  That one. —-> Phil finishes T-3. that was a much bigger story.

as for your “bold prediction”….a little too bold buddy.

congrats to bubba–and to the guy who caught Oosthuizen’s ball in the stands…that lucky SOB.

Conversation: Putter Lines

December 2, 2011

LG and I have debated this subject before, but it’s time for us to have one of our famous on-line debates.

This time, we’re talking about putter lines. Not just a line on a putter, but all the different ways lines can influence putting. From sight dots to cavity lines to naked look putters all the way to lines on a golf ball, players have preferences on how they sight up their putts.

Putting, although the simplest physical task in golf, can be one of the most frustrating mental tasks. A golf ball is 1.680 inches in diameter. A cup is 4.25 inches in diameter. If we assume that a typical “makeable” putting range is up to fifteen feet, understanding the difficulty of putting becomes clear. If we say the “object” to be shot is a golf ball, a person putting a golf ball must attempt to hit a target roughly two and a half times larger than the object from distances ranging up to 110 times the size of the object. Moreover, there is no one single way to do this. The pace at which a golf ball is putt greatly affects how much break it will take between the starting point and the hole–a softly hit putt taking more break than a firmly hit putt. Moreover, there are numerous variations on putter head shapes (blade, Anser-style, mallet, cavity, heel shafted, centershafted, plumber’s neck, flow neck, face milling, etc.), and even the putting stroke can vary (swinging gate, straight-back-straight-through, inside and then down-the-line). As such, we understand no one method will work for everyone, which is why want to show our own views on how lines affect putts.

JK’s View:

For years, I had a putter that was an Anser-II style. It had a squared look and a line on the flange, a plumber’s neck, and offset, much like the photo below. The putter was a beautiful specimen, one that I really treasured. I was proud of it and took great care of it. The putter felt great, and the ball coming off the face was like butter. There was just one problem.

I couldn’t putt for crap.

I broke down in 2004 and bought an Anser-style putter with no sight aid of any kind. The putter had flowing lines instead of a squared look. See the photo below of the Newport Beach, which was my gamer for many years. My putting improved, but I was never a truly great putter.

Although I loved the feeling of my Newport Beach, I didn’t realize how out-of-whack my putting stroke was until LG showed me how to putt with a line on the golf ball. I’ve always known that I was a swinging-gate stroke putter, but I didn’t realize how much I was cutting across the ball until LG showed me the ball with the line. On every putt I made, the line would flip over and skew. I had to work very hard to get the ball to roll end-over-end.

Eventually, I did learn how to roll the ball end-over-end. It turns out, this is all I really needed to become a decent putter. I have been around the game long enough to be able to read greens. My putting was suffering not from poor alignment or poor understanding of pace and line but rather from an inconsistent contact with the ball that could not have been detected without the aid of the line on the ball. I still use the line today, and I putt on average around 30.5 putts per round, which I’m very happy with.

When I got my custom putter made (see https://thepowerfade.wordpress.com/2011/05/02/review-sunset-beach-golf/), I got it without a sight line. Why, you may ask, would I get a putter without a sight line if a line helped my stroke so much? The answer is a little counterintuitive.

Although a line on the ball helped me, a line on the putter does not. The line on the putter distracts me from the ball, which is the true focus of my attention in the stroke. I start thinking about what the line is doing. If the line is ever not pointed at the hole, for some reason I get nervous. So, when I’m swinging, I actually tend to manipulate my hands subconsciously to get the line “correct.” It leads to inconsistent contact with the ball because, in my view, the hands should not move at all in the putting stroke.

More importantly, however, I reasoned with myself that a line on the putter does not help me, flat out. No club in my bag has a line on it. From driver down to PW, nothing has a line on it. Yet, somehow, I am able to line up the ball with a target hundreds of yards away and, more often then not, hit it pretty close to that target. Why, then, would I need a line on my club to aim a target a few feet away?

I understand that putting is largely mental, and I have had many friends and fellow-golfers tell me that there is no way they can line up their putts without a line on the putter. I understand that sentiment, but few of these people are what I would call good putters. To me, the game is easiest when it is made simplest by the player. In the golf swing, instead of thinking about rotation and placement of the hands in the backswing and plane angle, it is best if the player looks at the ball, lines himself up, and trusts that his stroke will work. Instead of picking a line on the golf course that requires a high draw to a tight fairway, pick the place that it doesn’t matter what flight you get and hit it confidently at that spot. It just makes sense that way to me. Thus, when viewing a putter, the one with the simplest setup that does not distract me from what I am trying to do is the best.

Moreover, some recent research by Bruce Rearick at the United States Golf Academy shows how lines affect the average golfer:

At the United States Golf Academy we have measured over 30,000 putting strokes – about 2000 players on our PuttLab system.

92% perform better with their eyes closed during the stroke. (Elimination of visual interference)

Less than 40% can aim the putter within 2 degrees of their chosen target with an alignment aid on the putter. (Putt missed at 12 feet) This improves to 70% without the visual references on the putter.

Only 60% can match the line on the putter to a line on the ball (within one degree). It is much worse when the sight line is in the cavity behind the face. The number improves to over 90% when there is a line on the ball no line on the putter and they square the face to the line (again within 1 degree).

If 90% of people can line up one way, to me, that is the easiest way to go. That also happens to be the way that I use lines when putting. And, lately, I have become a “good” putter.

What say you, LG?

LG’s Response:

Actually, JK and I are not that far off from one another.  At the end of the day for both of us, putting is all about confidence and making a good stroke.  We both believe (JK because I proved it to him) that a line on the ball is the best diagnostic tool for learning about an individual putting stroke.  We both believe that the only way the ball has a chance of going in the hole is if the person striking it believes it will go in the hole.  In fact, I’d argue we both believe that, whether there’s a line on the putter or not, a person will putt best with whatever putter he or she thinks will make the putt.  However, this would not be much of a debate if I did not engage JK on this point.  Before I do that though, here’s my putting background:

I consider myself to be a good putter (at least when my head is on straight), and I think JK would agree that I probably putt better than the usual 9 handicap.  From my first 33″ Studio Style to my beloved 35″ Monterey to my most recent 35″ spider ghost, each and every putter has an alignment line.  This may have been a product of circumstance because every putter I had ever tried before buying my first one had a line on it.  I simply felt more comfortable looking down and seeing a line on the putter.  JK’s own story about why he got rid of the line suggests that he got rid of his because he lacked confidence in his putting and thought a change would benefit him.  Conversely, I always focused on getting good, end-over-end roll with my lined putter and lined ball, and was able to do so very quickly because I had ample time to practice in law school.  As a result, I developed confidence with a lined putter because I saw that it produced the roll that I desired.  Now, onto the argument.

I think the statistics JK cites are misleading.  As an initial matter, we don’t know how these tests were conducted. All we know is that some people missed 12 foot putts.  Were these straight? breaking?  Moreover, were people told that the test was to determine whether a line on the back of the putter helps?  I think this might have people focusing on the wrong things, and as you so adequately put it: “Putting, although the simplest physical task in golf, can be one of the most frustrating mental tasks.”

Anyway, Let’s take each in turn:

92% perform better with their eyes closed during the stroke. (Elimination of visual interference)

“perform better”?? What does this even mean?  They holed more putts? They got better roll? They had better alignment? They could read a break better?  Does this mean I should be putting with my eyes closed, JK?

Let’s assume that “perform better” actually means something. The fact that their eyes were closed does not go to show that the line was the problem, or that the lack of a line helped them putt any better.  Did this person line the putt up with the putter, close their eyes, then putt?  If so, that person probably made a freer stroke and was less attached to the outcome of the putt because “my eyes are closed, I should miss this.”  It seems more likely to me that this person had a clearer mind because of the lack of visual interference than better alignment due to a putter he or she could not see.  I would also argue that the putter without a line is just as much of a visual distraction as a putter with a line because putters have lines on them even if they are not alignment lines.  The brain subconsciously aligns these to the target even if the conscious brain does not try to line up a particular line with the target.

Less than 40% can aim the putter within 2 degrees of their chosen target with an alignment aid on the putter. (Putt missed at 12 feet) This improves to 70% without the visual references on the putter.

Even the way this one is written suggests an improper test.  So people were given a lined putter, missed a putt, then were given a putter with no line and made the same putt?  I don’t know about you JK, but if I get two cracks at a putt, the second one is almost always better than the first one.  Even if the test was in reverse or with different putts for each putter, the aim at the target line is not what’s important.  It is the confidence that the aim inspires to make a good stroke that matters.  I don’t really think it matters whether I can’t set the putter down within 1 degree of my intended line; what’s important is that the stroke that I make be on my target line.  I’m also wondering how “aim within 2 degrees” is measured when there is no line on the putter?  Are they using the angle normal to the face?  Are they doing this at impact?  Are they measuring how far from the center of the hole the ball ends up and drawing the triangle back to the point where it started?  This seems less than scientific without some context.

Only 60% can match the line on the putter to a line on the ball (within one degree). It is much worse when the sight line is in the cavity behind the face. The number improves to over 90% when there is a line on the ball no line on the putter and they square the face to the line (again within 1 degree).

I think this statistic misses the point.  Again, the point is what the line looks like at impact, not what it looks like at address.  If that same putter pulls the line dead on at impact, they are making a good stroke.  You need look no farther than Billy Mayfair for an example of a putting stroke that starts off line and pulls straight through to impact.

Additionally, as a general question to test the validity of what these statistics show, if any of these things mattered to getting the ball in the hole, why when I go to Golfsmith or in the bags of my playing partners on any given weekend do I find that the vast majority of putters have some kind of alignment mechanism on them?  If it were true that the ability to line up the putter to the target improved 90% without the use of such alignment aides, and that actually impacts whether the putt will go in the hole, then why aren’t the vast majority of putters sold ones that have no alignment aides?

Finally, I think this debate sort of misses the point.  We have talked a lot about the proper mechanics of putting, the psychological aspect, and our views on the way equipment should look, but at the end of the day, the best putter is the one that gets the ball in the hole.   My question above demonstrates, I think, the fact that as long as the putt can be made consistently, things we have talked about really don’t matter.  It doesn’t matter if it goes in with the line on the ball spinning skew or end-over-end.   All that matters is that the ball went in.  There are no pictures on a scorecard, and certainly no birdies for perfectly struck putts that roll end over end that burn the lip and slide 3 feet passed the hole.

Any reply, counselor?  (local rules limit you to one paragraph).

JK’s Reply:

Your point is, of course, well-taken. The ultimate point of this discussion is to give readers an idea of different things to think about with respect to putting lines. When that person finds what works for him or her, they should definitely stick with it. And I see your point on the statistics as well. Statistics are certainly dependent on the testing method, and there is no way to verify that a particular test matches your own definition of a correct measurement unless you do it yourself.

However, I think the overall point of the test is clear, regardless of whether it meets your definition of a correct measurement. The point made is that visual interference with a putting stroke can (not necessarily does, but can) have the effect of distracting the golfer from what is important in the putting stroke–i.e., getting the ball rolling on the correct line. That visual interference can take the form of a line on a putter. To me, a stroke like Billy Mayfair’s illustrates my point about lines rather than yours. If Billy Mayfair were trying to focus on lining up the flange line of a putter with the intended line of the ball, he would invariably fail to get the ball going on the intended line. His “cut stroke” relies on timing, and the line on the putter would take his focus away from that timing.

Below is illustrated a D-plane stroke for which a line would be terrible.

See also, a discussion of putting stroke and a reference to Mayfair: http://puttingzone.com/MyTips/path.html. And, a discussion of the “Cut Stroke” Mayfair used: http://www.better-golf-by-putting-better.com/cut-stroke.html

Moreover, I would think someone as intelligent as you would know that the argument about the omnipresence of putting lines is not a valid one. Just because everyone in the world is using one method does not make it the best way. Many golfers have the latest drivers in their bags because they think longer drives mean lower scores, but the average male handicap hasn’t changed in 30 years. Many golfers now use game improvement irons, but it’s not helping them hit the ball more accurately. Most golfers have a putter that they picked up at a Golfsmith or a PGA Tour Superstore. Their putter was one of a few options on the wall that they thought was a decent price for what they got. Few–if any–of the average weekend golfers go above and beyond to figure out what else is out there–they simply choose an option from what is presented to them. However, if you go into one of those stores, you would be hard pressed to find even one putter on the rack that doesn’t have a line on it somewhere (I know because I’m always looking). It’s pure statistics: what the putter manufacturers make overwhelmingly has a line on it, therefore, what people buy is more likely to have a line on it because few people are informed enough to choose a putter without a line. If there’s anything I’ve learned over the past few years of researching golf and blogging, it’s that the OEM companies make whatever they think the public will buy, not necessarily what is the best product. The vast majority of people who own a driver have the “Taylormade R9 Shaft” or the “Made for Titleist VooDoo.” Does that mean that those are the best shafts you can get or what those people should be using? Of course not. Those shafts are crap; you and I know it, and the ignorance of those people doesn’t change that. Most people think chicken soup helps you during a cold; it’s been scientifically proven that it doesn’t. The majority of people thinking chicken soup is beneficial doesn’t make it so.

We always advocate that golfers use whatever is best for them. What I advocate is that those golfers think about what a line on the putter means, try to understand their own putting strokes, and then make a conscious effort to try out various putter styles and figure out what really does work best for them. I think Wilson 8802-style putters are beautiful, but I can’t hit the broad side of a barn putting with one. LG, you just tried a putter that looks like the Starship Enterprise, but you were willing to use it if it got the ball in the hole. That is what I am hoping golfers will do–think critically about what is best and try things that seem unorthodox just in case they like it.

Wilson 8802:

LG’s Project Putter:

USS Enterprise:

ANSWERS IN BOLD – YIKES! This is probably our worst job yet. Thanks LG for helping us achieve a new low here at the PF.

The Tiger Woods edition was fun but (thankfully) is now over. It’s time to load your predictions for this year’s final major. Did you hear the fairways at AAC are running 9 on the stimp! Unbelievable! The course is in tremendous shape and I’m looking forward to going out and seeing the best of the best.

It’s hard to believe it’s already the time of year for the final major, but, alas, the golf season must end sometime. I’m looking forward to some September and October baseball, when my Braves crush LG’s Giants. However, first things first. Without further ado, our PGA predictions.

Response from LG – I love the Braves as well, sir. My first professional team ever when I moved to Atlanta. Last year when my Giants had to crush the Braves during the playoffs, I was torn. Care to wager?

RE re from JK – I’m not even sure the Giants will make the playoffs this year, but assuming they do–yes.

BACK TO GOLF!

Winner: Dustin Johnson Cut, +7
Runner Up: Jason Day Cut, +5
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Larry Nelson Cut, +13. Let’s go with…Keegan Bradley
Last Year’s Winner (Martin Kaymer) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): Make the Cut Cut, +5
Tiger Woods will: finally show up for an event. T-3 Cut, +10
Phil Mickelson will: Top10 T-19, E
Bubba Watson will: hit some big drives, but otherwise not do much. Barely make the cut. T-26, +1
How many prior winners in the Top 10: 2 1, David Toms
How many prior major winners in the Top 10: 4 1. David Toms
The Master’s Champion (Schwartzel) will: Make the Cut Correct, T-12
The US Open Champion (McIlroy) will: miss the cut T-64, +11
The Open Champion (Clarke) will: miss the cut CORRECT. +14
Will the winner lay up on the 72nd hole? Since I’ve picked DJ, definitely not. Bradley didn’t lay up on either try. Played it beautifully both times. Hybrid 5i to go par-par for regulation and playoff. Pretty awesome stuff
David Toms (winner of the last PGA Championship at AAC) will: Make the Cut T-4, -5. so, not wrong, but not right either
Who is most likely to Dustin Johnson it? Phickelson Definitely Jason Dufner. Although Phickelson had his own little meltdown after a few birdies on the front side.
Will Dustin Johnson do a line of coke off his driver face? Not while the cameras are on him i didn’t see it, but he wasn’t there on the weekend…so….
Will Tiger shave? I hope so. He looks like he dipped his chin in a bowl of poop sadly, no. he still looks evil.
Will someone win it or will everyone else lose it? The PGA is normally won, not lost. Phil did lose it once, and DJ and Bubba each “lost it” last year, but there is a long history of guys winning it–even Kaymer came up and got it when DJ and Bubba choked. I’m going with win. Bradley definitely came up and won it. He played awesome, dunked a chip on the par 3 15th then had the stones to birdie 16 on a great shot from the fairway, birdie 17 on a tiger-esque 35 footer, and par 18, which is no easy feat. Congrats Keegan
Will Rickie Fowler wear all orange on Sunday? I hope not. Atlanta has enough pollution. It doesn’t need nuclear radiation along with it. yes, and my eyes will never heal from the pain they experienced at seeing him live. I’m just waiting for that kid to paste a Home Depot logo on the back of that thing.
Will JK be on TV on Sunday? Hopefully not, although I will be there =). I don’t think so. LG thought he saw me, but alas, it was only Tony Romo
Will LG be jealous of JK’s Sunday ticket to the PGA Championship? He already is =).CORRECT. I had a blast. 11 hours at a golf course, worth every ounce of pain I’ve endured this morning.

LG (from INDIA!)
Winner: Rory McIlroy No, T-64
Runner Up: Dustin Johnson No, Cut
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Kevin Na Na was in the Top 10 (T-10, -2), but once again LG picks an “unknown” that everyone knows. You picking Sergio Garcia for the Masters, LG?
Last Year’s Winner (Martin Kaymer) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): make cut no
Tiger Woods will: make cut no
Phil Mickelson will: make cut yes
Bubba Watson will: make cut, possibly top 10 yes
How many prior winners in the Top 10: 1 correct
How many prior major winners in the Top 10: 0 this makes no sense. you picked 1 prior winner in the top 10 and 0 prior major winners in the 10 top. this is a fail
The Master’s Champion (Schwartzel) will: Top 10 no, T-12
The US Open Champion (McIlroy) will: Win! not even close
The Open Champion (Clarke) will: miss cut correct
Will the winner lay up on the 72nd hole? hell no correct
David Toms (winner of the last PGA Championship at AAC) will: miss cut uh, no. top 10 bud
Who is most likely to Dustin Johnson it? DJ himself nope. duffner. johnson wasn’t there to choke
Will Dustin Johnson do a line of coke off his driver face? Driver face? If that’s what you call some chick in the crowd, sure. probably was doing this in myrtle beach
Will Tiger shave? I hope not. Beards rule! It’s okay, JK, not everyone is man enough to grow a beard. sadly, correct.
Will someone win it or will everyone else lose it? Rory will win going awaywrong on rory, wrong on “going away.”
Will Rickie Fowler wear all orange on Sunday? obviously. yah
Will JK be on TV on Sunday? Hopefully falling into a lake. almost, but no
Will LG be jealous of JK’s Sunday ticket to the PGA Championship? I Already am. I’ll hopefully be using a telecast of the PGA to get over jet lag on Sunday. Let’s hope for some red in contention so I can stay awake!

Grades:
LG – F
JK – F-

so much for our predicting skills

*8/8/11 update by LG:  Let’s see how we did! (Grades below)

Tiger is coming back at the Bridgestone Invitational at Firestone. He’s been a magician at Firestone, pulling out 7 wins at the course. However, in his last tournament (at Sawgrass), he shot 42 on the front 9 and pulled out. So, here are some predictions about Tiger’s return that we should address.

JK:
Tiger will (MC, Make Cut, Top 10, Win): MC – While I hope this was a joke, let’s go ahead and make it official.  WRONG
Final score relative to par: +4 – +1 – Close, but no cigar.  Tiger made 3 birdies coming in to put the kibosh on this 
Facial hair will be: Goatee  – Correct!  Apparently Gillette ISN’T the best a man can get.  Real men have facial hair.
Who will win? Graeme McDowell – Incorrect – Aussie Adam Scott took it down with Steve Williams on the bag and a putter longer than the list of issues with America’s finances.  Gmac took down solo 65th at +9.
Will Tiger be in the last group on one of the weekend days? No – Correct
Will Tiger ever hold the lead? No – Correct
What will be his biggest issue? Putting – Hard to say – Tiger says hitting the ball too straight caused a lot of issues for him.  Putting wasn’t great, but not sure it was his “biggest issue”
What will be his biggest strength? Confusing the media with cryptic answers – Not sure, Tiger’s always abundantly clear – It’s a process.  Going to go with Incorrect on this one. 
Who will caddy for him? Looks like it will be Bryon Bell – Well done. 

LG will not participate in this predictions segment, as he is on vacation. Have fun LG!

LG’s Answers:

Top 10 – Incorrect, but hey, at least I picked something that could have actually happened.
Final Score -8 – +1 – eh.  What are you going to do?  -8 would have just nearly made the top 10.  
Goatee – See above.  Because I am the only PF-er with facial hair, this is a double win. 
As much as I hate to say this: Rickie Fowler – T-2.  CLOSE!  Fowler and Luke Donald tied for first losers at -13 while Scott took down the title in style at -17.  
NO last group – Correct
No lead – Correct
Issue – Driving – Tiger described this as his biggest issue, but not because he was all over the place, but because he was driving it “too straight.”  I wish I had that problem, Tiger. 
Strength – chipping/short game – Tiger’s first round 68 found him hitting 75% of greens in regulation.  Clearly, his short game brought up the rear. 
Bell on the bag (but it should be me!!) – Correct!  

LG: B+
JK: C- 

All-in-all, Seems like LG came out on top.

I think the only thing I can say is wow….(original answers published 7/13)

It’s that time again LG. Here we go…

JK:
Winner: Jason Day T-30, correct answer: Darren Clarke
Winning Score: -8 -5
Runner Up: Matt Kuchar m/c – correct answer: Phil Mickelson and Dustin Johnson
Low Amateur: Tom Lewis correct
“Unknown” in the Top 10: George Coetzee close, 15th – correct answer: Raphael Jacquelin
Last Year’s Winner (Oosthuizen) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): Miss the cut made cut, T- 54
The Master’s Winner (Schwartzel) Will …: Top 10 T-16
The US Open Winner (McIlroy) Will …: Top 10 T-25
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 1 0
Will Rory blow the 54 hole lead? no correct
Will Tiger’s absence be referenced on Sunday? hopefully not wasn’t–amazingly
Will Monty’s absence be referenced at all? of course not at all
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it? Someone will win it. RSt.G is that kind of course. Clarke won it. Great round in great weather. He may have bogeyed coming in, but it was still his game.
What will be the biggest story of the tournament? Lost balls in the fescue nope–just darren clarke
Who is most likely to Tom Watson it? Stricker Phickelson (yes I did that on purpose)
Will you watch on Sunday? Only if it’s close I watched the whole damn thing

LG:
Winner: Luke Donald m/c
Winning Score: -6 -5
Runner Up: Angel Cabrera m/c
Low Amateur: Peter Uielein 2d low am
“Unknown” in the Top 10: Fredrik Andersson Hed T-57
Last Year’s Winner (Oosthuizen) Will … (Win, Top10, Make the Cut, or Miss the Cut): make the cut correct
The Master’s Winner (Schwartzel) Will …: miss the cut T-16
The US Open Winner (McIlroy) Will …: Top 10 T-25
How many prior winners will be in the Top 10: 2 0
Will Rory blow the 54 hole lead? Nope – He’ll lead after day 1 and probably hang around and be discussed by the commentators to death. not too bad
Will Tiger’s absence be referenced on Sunday? only if golf channel wants to improve its ratings they didn’t
Will Monty’s absence be referenced at all? who? correct
Will someone win it, or will everyone else lose it? Donald will win it coming down the stretch.  He will birdie 17. eh, not quite
What will be the biggest story of the tournament? Luke Donald finally winning a major nope
Who is most likely to Tom Watson it? No one.  Not going to happen this year. phil…and DJ
Will you watch on Sunday? If I’m not called into the office, definitely.  I love the Open Championship! uh, incorrect